Language:English
Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.07%36.85%36.94%38.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.8244.44%40.44%40.82%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sturm Graz (Visit)
Prediction 34.73%2.88fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%34.76%34.66%37.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.87%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.40%28.40%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.253.4234.72%31.11%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 36.89%; Sturm Graz (Visit): 34.73%; Draw: 28.39%. For Wolfsberger AC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.07%EV +4.02%E +1.42%K +2.21%G +0.089% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -11.45%E -4.49%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.708%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -2.91%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.36%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -7.42%E -2.96%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.22%EV -10.41%E -4.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.58%EV -9.72%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.16%EV -10.01%E -3.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.52%EV -12.58%E -5.31%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.62%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.85%EV -17.01%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.55%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.59%EV -17.67%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.62% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |