La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Predicción 36.89%2.71momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.089%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.07%36.85%36.94%38.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.8244.44%40.44%40.82%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 34.73%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.83%34.76%34.66%37.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.87%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.39%3.52momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.40%28.40%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4234.72%31.11%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.07%EV +4.02%E +1.42%K +2.21%G +0.089% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -11.45%E -4.49%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-01 15:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.708%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -2.91%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.36%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:44 |
| Suprabets | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -7.42%E -2.96%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.22%EV -10.41%E -4.03%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.58%EV -9.72%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-24 03:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-01 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-24 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.16%EV -10.01%E -3.16%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 15:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.52%EV -12.58%E -5.31%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.62%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 36.85%EV -17.01%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.55%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.59%EV -17.67%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.62% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.7% | 2026-03-01 15:55 |