L’École des cotes

Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prévision 36.89%2.71cote équitable
EV +4.02%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.07%36.85%36.94%38.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.8244.44%40.44%40.82%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sturm Graz (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.73%2.88cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%34.76%34.66%37.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.87%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.39%3.52cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -0.851%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.40%28.40%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.253.4234.72%31.11%30.77%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.07%EV +4.02%E +1.42%K +2.21%G +0.089%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -11.45%E -4.49%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.708%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -2.91%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.36%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 15:29
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -7.42%E -2.96%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.22%EV -10.41%E -4.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.58%EV -9.72%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:24
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 15:30
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:35
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-01 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 15:29
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.16%EV -10.01%E -3.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 15:40
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.52%EV -12.58%E -5.31%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.62%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-01 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 15:24
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.85%EV -17.01%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.55%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.59%EV -17.67%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.62%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.7%2026-03-01 15:55