A Escola das Odds

Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz

Início: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Previsão 36.89%2.71odd justa
EV +4.02%
Vantagem +1.42%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.07%36.85%36.94%38.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.452.8244.44%40.44%40.82%35.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sturm Graz (Visitante)

Previsão 34.73%2.88odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -0.989%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.83%34.76%34.66%37.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.87%37.74%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.39%3.52odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -0.851%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.40%28.40%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.213.253.4234.72%31.11%30.77%29.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.07%EV +4.02%E +1.42%K +2.21%G +0.089%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.68%EV -11.45%E -4.49%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.48%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:54
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.43%EV -1.88%E -0.708%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -2.91%E -0.851%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.36%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 15:29
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.77%E -0.989%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:24
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:45
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:45
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:44
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.90%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:44
Suprabets2.51I 39.84%NM 36.20%EV -7.42%E -2.96%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.22%EV -10.41%E -4.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.58%EV -9.72%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:24
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:39
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:24
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.02%E -3.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 15:34
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:24
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.99%E -3.87%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-01 15:30
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:35
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:35
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.24%E -2.31%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 03:34
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.32%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-01 15:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.47%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.24%E -6.33%K -9.70%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-01 15:29
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.02%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -7.98%E -3.01%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -7.74%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.33%EV -9.71%E -3.74%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.16%EV -10.01%E -3.16%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 15:40
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 36.52%EV -12.58%E -5.31%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.62%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -14.83%E -4.94%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-01 15:30
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -13.19%E -5.27%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 15:24
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 36.85%EV -17.01%E -7.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.55%EV -16.66%E -6.94%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.59%EV -17.67%E -6.09%K -9.30%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-03-01 15:50
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.62%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.7%2026-03-01 15:55