Language:English
Sturm Graz v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.416%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%27.43%27.36%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.253.7032.26%30.37%30.77%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.07%46.14%46.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.04%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.51%26.51%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.503.7033.33%28.96%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 27.33%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 46.13%; Draw: 26.54%. For Sturm Graz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -0.243%E -0.067%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.16%E -0.602%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 18:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -5.44%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.09%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -2.88%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 18:23 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.48%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.11%EV -10.84%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 18:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 17:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.35%E -6.50%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.63%E -3.25%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -10.96%E -5.68%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -10.31%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-20 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -20.39%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 12:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.55%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.47%EV -16.96%E -9.42%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.27%E -4.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.42%E -5.95%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-20 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |