مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sturm Graz v RB Salzburg

البداية: 2026-03-20 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sturm Graz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 27.33%3.66السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.304%
Kelly +0.416%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.15%27.43%27.36%29.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.293.253.7032.26%30.37%30.77%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

RB Salzburg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.13%2.17السعر العادل
EV -4.04%
الأفضلية -1.94%
Kelly -3.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.77%46.07%46.14%46.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.04%50.00%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.54%3.77السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.492%
Kelly -0.674%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.18%26.51%26.51%28.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.453.503.7033.33%28.96%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:15
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 18:14
Pinnacle3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -0.243%E -0.067%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 18:20
Coolbet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.16%E -0.602%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 18:18
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:20
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -5.44%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.09%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -2.88%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 18:24
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 18:23
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:14
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:15
Suprabets3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.48%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.11%EV -10.84%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 18:17
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:20
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 17:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:20
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:20
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 18:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 18:25
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.35%E -6.50%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 18:20
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.63%E -3.25%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -10.96%E -5.68%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -10.31%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 18:10
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 17:55
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:25
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:24
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:25
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 18:15
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-20 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -20.39%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-20 18:20
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:39
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 12:14
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 18:40
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.55%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.47%EV -16.96%E -9.42%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-20 18:20
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.27%E -4.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.42%E -5.95%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-20 17:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-20 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-20 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-03-20 18:15
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-03-20 18:25
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%2.5%2026-03-20 18:25