L’École des cotesFrançais
Sturm Graz v RB Salzburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prévision 27.33%3.66cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.416%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.15%27.43%27.36%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.253.7032.26%30.37%30.77%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
RB Salzburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.13%2.17cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.07%46.14%46.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.0855.56%50.04%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.54%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.492%
Kelly -0.674%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.18%26.51%26.51%28.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.503.7033.33%28.96%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +1.12%E +0.304%K +0.416%G +0.005% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.49%EV -0.243%E -0.067%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.49%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.01%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.16%E -0.602%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 18:18 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.71%EV -5.44%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.09%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -2.88%E -0.787%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 18:23 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:14 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Suprabets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.48%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.11%EV -10.84%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-20 18:17 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 17:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -1.82%E -0.492%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.12%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.35%E -6.50%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.76%E -4.23%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.63%E -3.25%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -10.96%E -5.68%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -10.31%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-20 17:55 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -20.39%E -6.80%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 12:14 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.13%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.55%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.47%EV -16.96%E -9.42%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -17.74%E -5.72%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -15.27%E -4.93%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.42%E -5.95%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-20 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-20 18:25 |