Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.11
assuming max odds 3.74
assuming max odds 3.56
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 45.66%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 26.71%; Draw: 27.63%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.743. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.740, with an expected value of -0.090%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.81%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -0.090%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.35%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.65%E -0.463%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.09%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -7.30%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -3.92%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -21.19%E -7.18%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.60%E -4.85%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.51%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.44%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -9.71%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -9.38%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.43%E -7.10%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -15.53%E -8.40%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |