L’École des cotes

Ried v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 15:02 UTC

Score final : Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ried (Local)

Prévision 45.66%2.19cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.63%45.79%47.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.032.052.1154.05%49.27%48.78%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -0.090%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.99%26.77%26.57%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.323.303.7433.90%30.16%30.30%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.463%
Kelly -0.644%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.35%27.60%27.64%29.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.5634.72%29.91%29.85%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.81%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -0.090%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.35%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 14:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.65%E -0.463%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -7.30%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -3.92%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 15:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 15:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -21.19%E -7.18%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.60%E -4.85%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.51%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:59
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:59
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:59
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.44%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -9.71%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -9.38%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 14:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 14:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.43%E -7.10%K -10.87%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -15.53%E -8.40%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 15:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-09 14:59