La escuela de los momiosRied v Wolfsberger AC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 45.66%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.63%45.79%47.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.052.1154.05%49.27%48.78%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.090%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%26.77%26.57%29.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.323.303.7433.90%30.16%30.30%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.63%3.62momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.463%
Kelly -0.644%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.60%27.64%29.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.5634.72%29.91%29.85%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.81%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -0.090%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.35%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.65%E -0.463%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Suprabets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.09%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -7.30%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -3.92%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -21.19%E -7.18%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.60%E -4.85%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.51%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.44%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -9.71%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -9.38%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 14:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.43%E -7.10%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -15.53%E -8.40%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |