A Escola das Odds

Ried v Wolfsberger AC

Início: 2026-05-09 15:02 UTC

Final: Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ried (Local)

Previsão 45.66%2.19odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -3.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.63%45.79%47.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.852.032.052.1154.05%49.27%48.78%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.71%3.74odd justa
EV -0.090%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.99%26.77%26.57%29.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.323.303.7433.90%30.16%30.30%26.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.63%3.62odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.463%
Kelly -0.644%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.60%27.64%29.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.353.5634.72%29.91%29.85%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.81%EV -3.66%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -0.090%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.35%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 14:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:00
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -4.12%E -1.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 14:59
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -1.65%E -0.463%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 14:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -5.03%E -2.42%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:59
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -5.49%E -2.65%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -18.52%E -6.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:59
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -5.17%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.84%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.40%E -3.12%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 14:59
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:59
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -7.77%E -3.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -12.97%E -4.12%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Suprabets2.01I 49.75%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -7.30%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -3.92%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.50%E -1.86%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.31%E -0.944%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 14:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 15:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 15:00
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -8.68%E -4.34%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -21.19%E -7.18%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-09 15:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -9.60%E -4.85%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -4.69%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -10.51%E -5.36%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.17%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:59
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -1.16%E -0.313%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.45%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:59
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.07%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 14:59
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -10.96%E -5.62%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -14.36%E -4.63%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.44%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.38%EV -9.71%E -2.87%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.18%EV -9.38%E -2.86%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.03%EV -12.33%E -6.42%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -11.84%E -3.59%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 14:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.18%E -4.06%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.68%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 14:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -12.79%E -6.70%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -17.19%E -5.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.43%E -7.10%K -10.87%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -15.53%E -8.40%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -10.51%E -3.14%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-05-09 14:59
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16%1.5%2026-05-09 15:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-05-09 14:59