Language:English
Ried v Rapid Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ried (Local)
Prediction 29.54%3.39fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.184%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%29.58%29.46%32.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rapid Wien (Visit)
Prediction 42.79%2.34fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.83%42.81%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.182.2850.00%46.10%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.59%27.72%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.08%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 29.54%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 42.79%; Draw: 27.67%. For Ried (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -5.43%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.44%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -0.444%E -0.132%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.27%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.63%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.28%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.10%EV -13.13%E -6.47%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.61%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 14:55 |
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