Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ried v Rapid Wien

Inizio: 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Finale: Ried 1–2 Rapid Wien

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ried (Casa)

Previsione 29.54%3.39quota equa
EV +0.442%
Vantaggio +0.130%
Kelly +0.184%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%29.58%29.46%32.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rapid Wien (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.79%2.34quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.63%42.83%42.81%44.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.172.182.2850.00%46.10%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.67%3.61quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.82%27.59%27.72%28.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.08%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ried (Casa): 29.54%; Rapid Wien (Trasferta): 42.79%; Pareggio: 27.67%. Per Ried (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.39. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.40, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.442%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -5.43%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.44%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -0.444%E -0.132%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.27%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 14:35
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Suprabets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.63%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:54
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:54
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.28%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.10%EV -13.13%E -6.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.61%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:45
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-08-09 14:55