Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ried v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Score final : Ried 1–2 Rapid Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ried (Local)

Prévision 29.54%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.442%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.184%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.40%29.58%29.46%32.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.79%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.83%42.81%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.172.182.2850.00%46.10%45.87%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.67%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.59%27.72%28.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.08%29.85%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ried (Local) : 29.54% ; Rapid Wien (Visiteur) : 42.79% ; Match nul : 27.67%. Pour Ried (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.442%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -5.43%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.44%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -0.444%E -0.132%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.27%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 14:35
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Suprabets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.63%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:54
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:54
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.28%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.10%EV -13.13%E -6.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.61%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:45
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-08-09 14:55