Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ried v Rapid Wien

Początek: 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Ried 1–2 Rapid Wien

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Ried (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.54%3.39kurs godziwy
EV +0.442%
Przewaga +0.130%
Kelly +0.184%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.40%29.58%29.46%32.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.72%32.79%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rapid Wien (Goście)

Prognoza 42.79%2.34kurs godziwy
EV -2.44%
Przewaga -1.07%
Kelly -1.90%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.28

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.63%42.83%42.81%44.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.172.182.2850.00%46.10%45.87%43.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.67%3.61kurs godziwy
EV -3.16%
Przewaga -0.904%
Kelly -1.27%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.82%27.59%27.72%28.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.053.323.353.5032.79%30.08%29.85%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Ried (Gospodarze): 29.54%; Rapid Wien (Goście): 42.79%; Remis: 27.67%. Dla wyniku Ried (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.39. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.442%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.80%EV -5.43%E -2.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.44%E -0.986%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV +0.442%E +0.130%K +0.184%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:55
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.47%EV -0.444%E -0.132%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.81%EV -6.29%E -2.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -4.27%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -2.51%E -0.761%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 14:35
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.72%E -3.08%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 14:45
Suprabets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.63%EV -6.06%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:54
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 14:54
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.58%EV -8.43%E -3.94%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 14:55
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.28%E -4.38%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.23%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 14:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.10%EV -13.13%E -6.47%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -15.61%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.00%E -5.29%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.91%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:54
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.28%E -5.99%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -5.86%E -2.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:45
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.70%EV -2.44%E -1.07%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.14%E -4.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -3.16%E -0.904%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -14.42%E -7.21%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.00%E -3.72%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.72%E -1.65%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.31%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.12%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -7.14%E -3.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.08%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 14:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Matchbook◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%2.2%2026-08-09 14:55