Language:English
RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prediction 55.10%1.82fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.61%55.40%55.19%60.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.651.7565.79%60.51%60.61%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rapid Wien (Visit)
Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV +16.58%
Edge +2.91%
Kelly +3.53%
Growth +0.585%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.70%20.22%20.48%21.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.514.505.7024.39%22.16%22.22%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.843%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%24.38%24.34%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.753.804.2030.77%26.66%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 55.10%; Rapid Wien (Visit): 20.45%; Draw: 24.45%. For Rapid Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -13.50%E -8.60%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV +16.58%E +2.91%K +3.53%G +0.585% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +2.70%E +0.642%K +0.843%G +0.023% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.13%E -2.38%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.128%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.79%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -5.10%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.48%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.46%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.33%EV -12.22%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 13:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -10.02%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 13:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -20.53%E -6.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-15 13:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-15 13:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.25%E -10.69%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -18.09%E -5.40%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 13:25 |