La scuola delle quote

RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien

Inizio: 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

RB Salzburg (Casa)

Previsione 55.10%1.82quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -2.05%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.61%55.40%55.19%60.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.651.651.7565.79%60.51%60.61%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rapid Wien (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.45%4.89quota equa
EV +16.58%
Vantaggio +2.91%
Kelly +3.53%
Crescita +0.585%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.70%20.22%20.48%21.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.514.505.7024.39%22.16%22.22%17.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.45%4.09quota equa
EV +2.70%
Vantaggio +0.642%
Kelly +0.843%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.67%24.38%24.34%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.753.804.2030.77%26.66%26.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -13.50%E -8.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV +16.58%E +2.91%K +3.53%G +0.585%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +2.70%E +0.642%K +0.843%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-15 10:25
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.13%E -2.38%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.128%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 13:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.79%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 13:20
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -5.10%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.48%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 13:15
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 13:20
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:15
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 13:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Suprabets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.46%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.33%EV -12.22%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 13:18
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -10.02%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:22
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 13:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 13:15
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -20.53%E -6.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-15 13:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:24
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.25%E -10.69%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -18.09%E -5.40%K -7.70%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-15 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-03-15 13:25