L’École des cotes

RB Salzburg v Rapid Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 55.10%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -2.05%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.61%55.40%55.19%60.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.651.7565.79%60.51%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rapid Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.45%4.89cote équitable
EV +16.58%
Avantage +2.91%
Kelly +3.53%
Croissance +0.585%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.70%20.22%20.48%21.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.514.505.7024.39%22.16%22.22%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.642%
Kelly +0.843%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.67%24.38%24.34%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.753.804.2030.77%26.66%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -13.50%E -8.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.70%EV +16.58%E +2.91%K +3.53%G +0.585%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV +2.70%E +0.642%K +0.843%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-15 10:25
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.13%E -2.38%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.128%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 13:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.48%EV -5.79%E -3.38%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:15
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:15
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.44%E -4.43%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 13:20
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.87%E -0.824%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:15
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%EV -3.58%E -2.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -5.10%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.48%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.64%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.31%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -5.92%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV +0.251%E +0.061%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 13:15
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 13:20
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:15
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.68%E -2.71%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 13:15
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:25
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Suprabets1.67I 59.88%NM 54.46%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.96%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.33%EV -12.22%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 13:18
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:15
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.98%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:15
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -6.89%E -4.08%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -10.01%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.08%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.17%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.55%EV -11.03%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.29%EV -10.02%E -2.72%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:22
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.44%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -12.05%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -5.86%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.92%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -13.08%E -3.08%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 13:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.24%E -3.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -11.97%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 13:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -7.99%E -4.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 13:15
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.25%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.95%EV -14.42%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-15 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.75%E -6.63%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.10%E -3.36%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -20.53%E -6.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-15 13:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.85%E -7.40%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -9.53%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:24
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.25%E -10.69%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -16.14%E -3.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -18.09%E -5.40%K -7.70%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-15 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-15 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.58%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.2%2026-03-15 13:25