Language:English
RB Salzburg v Hartberg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prediction 75.46%1.33fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -15.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.76%75.63%75.36%77.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.08%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hartberg (Visit)
Prediction 9.21%10.86fair odd
EV +7.58%
Edge +0.649%
Kelly +0.709%
Growth +0.054%
assuming max odds 11.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.05%9.16%9.23%11.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.8110.0011.6812.90%10.19%10.00%8.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.33%6.52fair odd
EV +7.33%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.090%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.45%15.21%15.41%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.926.007.0020.00%16.90%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 75.46%; Hartberg (Visit): 9.21%; Draw: 15.33%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.86. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.33%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.090% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 04:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.67%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 11.68I 8.56%NM 8.05%EV +7.58%E +0.649%K +0.709%G +0.054% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.28%EV +0.890%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.336%E -0.052%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -5.70%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 00:32 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 01:43 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.54%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.36%EV -10.21%E -8.58%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -14.14%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-17 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 12:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.36%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.16%EV -10.96%E -9.29%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.14%EV -28.62%E -3.69%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.70%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -23.34%E -4.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 06:35 |