La scuola delle quote

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

Inizio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Finale: RB Salzburg 1–3 Hartberg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

RB Salzburg (Casa)

Previsione 75.46%1.33quota equa
EV -4.17%
Vantaggio -3.28%
Kelly -15.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.76%75.63%75.36%77.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.08%81.97%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hartberg (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.21%10.86quota equa
EV +7.58%
Vantaggio +0.649%
Kelly +0.709%
Crescita +0.054%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.05%9.16%9.23%11.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.759.8110.0011.6812.90%10.19%10.00%8.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.33%6.52quota equa
EV +7.33%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.45%15.21%15.41%17.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.926.007.0020.00%16.90%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.33%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.090%6.3%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 77.67%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%11.68I 8.56%NM 8.05%EV +7.58%E +0.649%K +0.709%G +0.054%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.28%EV +0.890%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-17 08:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.336%E -0.052%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -5.70%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 04:20
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.44%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 12:10
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:40
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 12:34
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 04:20
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:39
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:34
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:34
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 00:32
Suprabets1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 01:43
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 01:40
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:40
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.54%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.36%EV -10.21%E -8.58%K -53.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -14.14%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:10
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 12:05
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 12:40
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 04:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 75.36%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-16 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 73.16%EV -10.96%E -9.29%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.14%EV -28.62%E -3.69%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.70%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -23.34%E -4.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31%2.8%2026-05-17 06:35