L’École des cotes

RB Salzburg v Hartberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : RB Salzburg 1–3 Hartberg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 75.46%1.33cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -3.28%
Kelly -15.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.76%75.63%75.36%77.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.08%81.97%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hartberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.21%10.86cote équitable
EV +7.58%
Avantage +0.649%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 11.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.05%9.16%9.23%11.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.8110.0011.6812.90%10.19%10.00%8.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.33%6.52cote équitable
EV +7.33%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.45%15.21%15.41%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.926.007.0020.00%16.90%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.33%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.090%6.3%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 77.67%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%11.68I 8.56%NM 8.05%EV +7.58%E +0.649%K +0.709%G +0.054%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.28%EV +0.890%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001%6.4%2026-05-17 08:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.336%E -0.052%K -0.061%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 04:20
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 14:40
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -5.70%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 04:20
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.44%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 12:10
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:40
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 12:34
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 04:20
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:39
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 08:00
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:34
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:34
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 00:32
Suprabets1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 01:43
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 01:40
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:40
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 01:40
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.54%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.36%EV -10.21%E -8.58%K -53.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -14.14%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 12:10
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 12:05
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 12:40
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 04:20
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 75.36%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-16 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 73.16%EV -10.96%E -9.29%K -60.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.14%EV -28.62%E -3.69%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.70%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-16 01:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -23.34%E -4.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%1.9%2026-05-17 08:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31%2.8%2026-05-17 06:35