La escuela de los momiosRB Salzburg v Hartberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
RB Salzburg (Local)
Predicción 75.46%1.33momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -3.28%
Kelly -15.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.76%75.63%75.36%77.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.221.221.2786.21%82.08%81.97%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hartberg (Visitante)
Predicción 9.21%10.86momio equitativo
EV +7.58%
Ventaja +0.649%
Kelly +0.709%
Crecimiento +0.054%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.05%9.16%9.23%11.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.8110.0011.6812.90%10.19%10.00%8.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.33%6.52momio equitativo
EV +7.33%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.45%15.21%15.41%17.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.926.007.0020.00%16.90%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV +7.33%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.090% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 04:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.67%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 11.68I 8.56%NM 8.05%EV +7.58%E +0.649%K +0.709%G +0.054% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.28%EV +0.890%E +0.135%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.72%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV -0.336%E -0.052%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.70%EV -11.58%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.87%E -0.292%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 14:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -5.70%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.64%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.23%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.13%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.52%EV -4.17%E -3.28%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 12:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.31%E +0.119%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.19%E -5.84%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.94%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -8.00%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.29%EV -6.43%E -5.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -3.29%E -0.313%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.23%EV -8.70%E -7.19%K -41.42%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.34%EV -10.20%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 00:32 |
| Suprabets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.56%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -9.54%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 01:43 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.06%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.79%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.54%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.24%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.36%EV -10.21%E -8.58%K -53.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.80%EV -14.14%E -2.52%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-17 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:09 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:09 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -5.68%E -4.54%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.71%E -2.55%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 12:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -7.94%E -6.51%K -36.10%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 12:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -17.11%E -1.90%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 04:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.36%EV -12.47%E -10.75%K -77.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -7.90%E -0.790%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.16%EV -10.96%E -9.29%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.14%EV -28.62%E -3.69%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.70%EV -15.67%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -9.45%E -7.88%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -12.50%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -23.34%E -4.67%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.85% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.53% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.22% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.47% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 06:35 |