Language:English
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rapid Wien (Local)
Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%45.91%45.99%47.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.022.1152.63%49.55%49.50%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sturm Graz (Visit)
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV +0.067%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.89%26.21%26.17%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.8232.26%29.13%29.41%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%27.87%27.83%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.4632.26%30.31%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 45.91%; Sturm Graz (Visit): 26.20%; Draw: 27.90%. For Sturm Graz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.817. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.820, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.067%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV +0.067%E +0.017%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -1.24%E -0.330%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.13%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -11.86%E -6.17%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -9.56%E -4.85%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -18.79%E -6.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |