A Escola das Odds

Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz

Início: 2026-04-05 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Previsão 45.91%2.18odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.21%45.91%45.99%47.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.022.022.1152.63%49.55%49.50%47.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sturm Graz (Visitante)

Previsão 26.20%3.82odd justa
EV +0.067%
Vantagem +0.017%
Kelly +0.024%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.89%26.21%26.17%28.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.403.8232.26%29.13%29.41%26.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.90%3.58odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%27.87%27.83%28.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.303.303.4632.26%30.31%30.30%28.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV +0.067%E +0.017%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 14:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 14:50
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 14:45
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -1.24%E -0.330%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 14:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:45
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 14:44
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 14:39
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 14:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:54
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.13%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 14:14
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 14:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 14:40
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 14:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 14:29
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 14:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 14:55
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 14:45
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 14:19
Suprabets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 14:54
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 14:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 14:45
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 14:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-05 14:49
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:04
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:04
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:04
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:05
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:04
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 14:04
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -11.86%E -6.17%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:04
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:05
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 14:05
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -9.56%E -4.85%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -18.79%E -6.06%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-05 14:55
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.3%2026-04-05 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-04-05 14:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-04-05 14:55