L’École des cotesFrançais
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rapid Wien (Local)
Prévision 45.91%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%45.91%45.99%47.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.022.022.1152.63%49.55%49.50%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sturm Graz (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV +0.067%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.024%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.82
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.89%26.21%26.17%28.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.433.403.8232.26%29.13%29.41%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.90%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%27.87%27.83%28.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.303.303.4632.26%30.31%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV +0.067%E +0.017%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -1.24%E -0.330%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.13%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:35 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Suprabets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -11.86%E -6.17%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -9.56%E -4.85%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -18.79%E -6.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |