La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rapid Wien (Local)
Predicción 45.91%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.21%45.91%45.99%47.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.1152.63%49.55%49.50%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sturm Graz (Visitante)
Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.067%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.89%26.21%26.17%28.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.8232.26%29.13%29.41%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%27.87%27.83%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.303.303.4632.26%30.31%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.15%EV +0.067%E +0.017%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.457%E -0.120%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.25%EV -4.05%E -1.94%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -1.24%E -0.330%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.04%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.39%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.70%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.15%EV -3.13%E -1.48%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -5.15%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 14:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:35 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.26%E -3.60%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.01%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:34 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 14:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.32%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Suprabets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.63%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.16%EV -9.90%E -3.06%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -12.77%E -6.72%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.52%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -9.10%E -4.60%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.25%E -3.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.18%E -4.09%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.48%E -5.37%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.56%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-05 14:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.51%E -2.17%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.95%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -11.86%E -6.17%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -5.89%E -2.87%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -16.17%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.94%E -2.41%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -9.56%E -4.85%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -18.79%E -6.06%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -10.73%E -3.35%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 14:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07% | 0.3% | 2026-04-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 14:55 |