Language:English
Hartberg v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hartberg (Local)
Prediction 17.54%5.70fair odd
EV +11.37%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.13%
Growth +0.242%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.16%17.51%17.66%19.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.006.3522.22%19.65%20.00%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 59.66%1.68fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.948%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.76%59.71%59.48%61.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.551.571.6569.44%64.40%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.379%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%22.78%22.86%24.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.983.954.3328.57%25.12%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartberg (Local): 17.54%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 59.66%; Draw: 22.80%. For Hartberg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV +11.37%E +1.79%K +2.13%G +0.242% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.70%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.14%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.69%EV +7.34%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.105% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.77%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV +1.73%E +0.298%K +0.360%G +0.006% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -9.92%E -6.57%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.88%EV -12.89%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 11:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.50%EV +1.20%E +0.208%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 08:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.26%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.71%E -7.91%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.32%E -6.13%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 06:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -13.18%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -1.56%E -0.948%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -11.11%E -7.46%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -14.09%E -9.79%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.19%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |