L’École des cotes

Hartberg v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 17.54%5.70cote équitable
EV +11.37%
Avantage +1.79%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.242%

avec la cote maximale 6.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.16%17.51%17.66%19.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.006.3522.22%19.65%20.00%15.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.66%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.948%
Kelly -2.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.71%59.48%61.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.571.6569.44%64.40%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.80%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.379%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%22.78%22.86%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.983.954.3328.57%25.12%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV +11.37%E +1.79%K +2.13%G +0.242%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.70%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.14%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:20
1xBet6.12I 16.34%NM 15.69%EV +7.34%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.105%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.77%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 12:25
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Suprabets5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV +1.73%E +0.298%K +0.360%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -9.92%E -6.57%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.88%EV -12.89%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:54
Coolbet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.50%EV +1.20%E +0.208%K +0.252%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:44
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 06:10
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 12:19
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 08:31
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:25
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.26%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 07:30
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 06:10
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.71%E -7.91%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 12:20
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 12:04
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 12:25
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.32%E -6.13%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 06:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:25
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 06:08
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -13.18%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -1.56%E -0.948%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:04
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -11.11%E -7.46%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 06:10
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 06:44
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 06:45
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 06:45
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -14.09%E -9.79%K -32.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 12:15
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 06:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.19%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-05 12:25