La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hartberg v RB Salzburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 17.54%5.70momio equitativo
EV +11.37%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.242%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.16%17.51%17.66%19.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.006.3522.22%19.65%20.00%15.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
RB Salzburg (Visitante)
Predicción 59.66%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.948%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.71%59.48%61.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.551.571.6569.44%64.40%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.80%4.39momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.379%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%22.78%22.86%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.983.954.3328.57%25.12%25.32%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV +11.37%E +1.79%K +2.13%G +0.242% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.70%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.14%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| 1xBet | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.69%EV +7.34%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.105% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.77%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Suprabets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV +1.73%E +0.298%K +0.360%G +0.006% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -9.92%E -6.57%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.88%EV -12.89%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 11:54 |
| Coolbet | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.50%EV +1.20%E +0.208%K +0.252%G +0.003% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Bovada | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 08:31 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.26%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 07:30 |
| theScore Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.71%E -7.91%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 12:04 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.32%E -6.13%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 06:08 |
| Betsson | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -13.18%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -1.56%E -0.948%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| TABtouch | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Casumo | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Grosvenor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
| Neds | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -11.11%E -7.46%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| LeoVegas | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 06:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -14.09%E -9.79%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 12:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 06:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.19%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-05 12:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |
| Smarkets | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.46% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27% | 2.3% | 2026-04-05 12:25 |