La scuola delle quote

Hartberg v RB Salzburg

Inizio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hartberg (Casa)

Previsione 17.54%5.70quota equa
EV +11.37%
Vantaggio +1.79%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.242%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.16%17.51%17.66%19.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.095.006.3522.22%19.65%20.00%15.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

RB Salzburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.66%1.68quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.948%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.76%59.71%59.48%61.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.551.571.6569.44%64.40%63.69%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.80%4.39quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.292%
Kelly -0.379%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.51%22.78%22.86%24.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.983.954.3328.57%25.12%25.32%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV +11.37%E +1.79%K +2.13%G +0.242%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.70%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.14%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:20
1xBet6.12I 16.34%NM 15.69%EV +7.34%E +1.20%K +1.43%G +0.105%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.77%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -6.96%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 12:25
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.23%E +0.872%K +1.05%G +0.055%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.65%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Suprabets5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV +1.73%E +0.298%K +0.360%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -9.92%E -6.57%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.88%EV -12.89%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:54
Coolbet5.77I 17.33%NM 16.50%EV +1.20%E +0.208%K +0.252%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.27%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:44
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 06:10
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -3.54%E -0.643%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -1.95%E -0.453%K -0.590%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 12:19
Bovada5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 08:31
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.29%E -0.980%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:25
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -1.26%E -0.292%K -0.379%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 07:30
theScore Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.93%E -4.44%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 06:10
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -7.92%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.13%E -5.28%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -8.80%E -1.69%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -11.71%E -7.91%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 12:20
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -10.55%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 12:04
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 12:25
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.32%E -6.13%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 06:10
PlayUp5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.53%E -4.86%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:25
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.31%E -2.46%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-05 06:08
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -13.18%E -2.66%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -1.56%E -0.948%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:04
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Unibet (NL)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:44
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.52%EV -4.55%E -2.84%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -15.81%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.09%EV -11.11%E -7.46%K -22.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 06:10
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 06:44
LiveScore Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -5.74%E -3.63%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 06:45
LeoVegas4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%EV -6.34%E -4.04%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 06:45
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -16.69%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -14.09%E -9.79%K -32.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 12:15
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -19.32%E -4.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -8.72%E -5.70%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 06:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -21.07%E -4.68%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.51%E -7.01%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -20.19%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-05 12:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-05 12:25