Language:English
Hartberg v Austria Lustenau
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hartberg (Local)
Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%41.72%41.60%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.202.202.3348.08%45.49%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Lustenau (Visit)
Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.41%31.53%32.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.56%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.937%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%26.87%26.87%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.79%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartberg (Local): 41.68%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 31.48%; Draw: 26.84%. For Austria Lustenau (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 12:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -7.06%E -3.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.68%EV -8.73%E -3.99%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 12:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.68%EV -11.96%E -3.65%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 12:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |