Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg v Austria Lustenau

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC

Score final : Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 41.68%2.40cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.54%41.72%41.60%43.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.202.202.3348.08%45.49%45.45%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.48%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.05%31.41%31.53%32.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.56%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.84%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -0.937%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%26.87%26.87%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.79%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hartberg (Local) : 41.68% ; Austria Lustenau (Visiteur) : 31.48% ; Match nul : 26.84%. Pour Austria Lustenau (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.10, pour une espérance de -2.40% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 11:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 11:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -7.06%E -3.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 12:09
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 12:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 12:19
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 12:19
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 12:04
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 11:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 12:04
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.68%EV -8.73%E -3.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 12:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 12:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-11 12:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.68%EV -11.96%E -3.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:03
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-10-11 12:25