Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg v Austria Lustenau

Início: 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC

Final: Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg (Local)

Previsão 41.68%2.40odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.54%41.72%41.60%43.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.202.202.3348.08%45.49%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Austria Lustenau (Visitante)

Previsão 31.48%3.18odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -0.776%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.05%31.41%31.53%32.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.56%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.84%3.73odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -0.937%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.93%26.87%26.87%28.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.79%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hartberg (Local): 41.68%; Austria Lustenau (Visitante): 31.48%; Empate: 26.84%. Para Austria Lustenau (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -2.40%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 12:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 12:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 11:55
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-11 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 11:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 12:24
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -7.06%E -3.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 12:09
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 12:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 12:19
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 12:19
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 12:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 12:04
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 11:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-11 12:04
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 08:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:54
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-11 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.68%EV -8.73%E -3.99%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-11 10:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 12:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-11 12:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-11 12:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.68%EV -11.96%E -3.65%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:03
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-10-11 12:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-10-11 12:25