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Hartberg v Austria Lustenau
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.54%41.72%41.60%43.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.202.202.3348.08%45.49%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Austria Lustenau (Visitante)
Predicción 31.48%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.05%31.41%31.53%32.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.56%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.87%26.87%28.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.363.353.6031.75%29.79%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hartberg (Local): 41.68%; Austria Lustenau (Visitante): 31.48%; Empate: 26.84%. Para Austria Lustenau (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.18. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -2.40%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -2.89%E -1.24%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.19%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -5.81%E -2.57%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -3.98%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 12:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -4.72%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.23%E -2.77%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 12:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.92%EV -7.06%E -3.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -6.18%E -2.07%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.48%E -3.37%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 12:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.13%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.37%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.11%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.31%E -3.78%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.68%EV -8.73%E -3.99%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.70%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.92%EV -9.98%E -4.62%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.02%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -15.45%E -4.91%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.40%E -0.776%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.28%E -3.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.06%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.33%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -7.40%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-11 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.74%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-11 12:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.43%E -3.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-11 12:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.48%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.77%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -11.85%E -4.23%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.68%EV -11.96%E -3.65%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 12:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.07%EV -13.31%E -6.40%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-11 12:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-10-11 12:25 |