Language:English
Grazer AK v Austria Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Grazer AK (Local)
Prediction 33.60%2.98fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%33.60%33.66%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.702.8738.46%36.81%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Wien (Visit)
Prediction 36.82%2.72fair odd
EV -0.956%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%36.79%36.80%37.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.482.6942.55%40.23%40.32%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.58%3.38fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%29.61%29.54%30.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.22%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grazer AK (Local): 33.60%; Austria Wien (Visit): 36.82%; Draw: 29.58%. For Austria Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.69, with an expected value of -0.956%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -3.56%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.96%EV -0.956%E -0.355%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 17:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.32%EV -6.24%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -7.21%E -2.86%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.32%E -3.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 17:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.06%E -3.67%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.37%E -5.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 17:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.02% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.27% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95% | 2.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |