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Grazer AK v Austria Wien

2026-09-19 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 37.89%2.64fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%37.68%37.98%38.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.402.402.5244.84%41.62%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 34.53%2.90fair odd
EV -6.77%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.04%34.59%34.40%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.622.7040.82%38.56%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.58%3.63fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%27.73%27.62%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.5032.26%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grazer AK (Local): 37.89%; Austria Wien (Visit): 34.53%; Draw: 27.58%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -3.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -8.15%E -3.07%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.87%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.46%E -0.988%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:25
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 10:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 10:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 10:25
Suprabets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.55%EV -10.58%E -4.48%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.49%EV -11.26%E -4.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.96%EV -12.56%E -3.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.86%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 10:53
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.86%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -14.49%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.75%E -6.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.29%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.82%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.62%EV -15.51%E -6.95%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.04%EV -12.64%E -5.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.