Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grazer AK v Austria Wien

Início: 2026-09-19 17:30 UTC

Final: Grazer AK 2–2 Austria Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grazer AK (Local)

Previsão 33.60%2.98odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.90%33.60%33.66%34.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.722.702.8738.46%36.81%37.04%34.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 36.82%2.72odd justa
EV -0.956%
Vantagem -0.355%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.34%36.79%36.80%37.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.492.482.6942.55%40.23%40.32%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.58%3.38odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.38%29.61%29.54%30.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.22%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grazer AK (Local): 33.60%; Austria Wien (Visitante): 36.82%; Empate: 29.58%. Para Austria Wien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.69, com valor esperado de -0.956%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -3.56%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.96%EV -0.956%E -0.355%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 17:13
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 17:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 17:24
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 17:24
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.32%EV -6.24%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -7.21%E -2.86%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 17:24
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 17:14
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.32%E -3.34%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 17:16
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:19
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:24
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:24
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:14
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.06%E -3.67%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 17:25
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 17:25
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 17:24
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.37%E -5.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 17:15
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:24
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-19 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-19 17:23
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-19 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-19 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.02%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-09-19 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90%1.4%2026-09-19 17:25
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.27%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.78%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95%2.7%2026-09-19 17:25