默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grazer AK v Austria Wien

2026-09-19 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

38%

35%

28%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grazer AK (主队)

预测 37.89%2.64公平赔率

EV -3.38%

优势 -1.33%

Kelly -2.18%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布

36.56%37.68%37.98%38.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.232.412.402.5544.84%41.56%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Austria Wien (客队)

预测 34.53%2.90公平赔率

EV -6.77%

优势 -2.51%

Kelly -3.98%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布

34.04%34.59%34.40%35.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.452.592.622.7040.82%38.56%38.17%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.58%3.63公平赔率

EV -6.22%

优势 -1.83%

Kelly -2.59%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布

26.82%27.73%27.62%28.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.103.253.253.4032.26%30.76%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Grazer AK (主队)：37.89%；Austria Wien (客队)：34.53%；平局：27.58%。对于“Grazer AK (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-3.38%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.38%E -1.33%K -2.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-06 14:15
1xBet🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -4.52%E -1.79%K -2.97%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -8.15%E -3.07%K -4.91%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.87%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-06 12:10
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-06 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-06 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-06 10:45
William Hill🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-09-06 10:50
FanDuel🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.22%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-06 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-06 10:25
Fanatics🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-06 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-06 10:25
Codere (IT)🎯	2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -9.45%E -3.95%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.98%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-09-06 10:25
Suprabets🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 37.55%EV -10.58%E -4.48%K -7.78%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 34.49%EV -11.26%E -4.38%K -7.17%G +0.000%	3.17I 31.55%NM 27.96%EV -12.56%E -3.96%K -5.79%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-09-06 11:50
SportsBet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-09-06 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.86%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -10.36%E -3.19%K -4.60%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-09-06 10:53
Sky Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.86%E -5.59%K -9.89%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.68%E -5.47%K -9.12%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -14.49%E -4.68%K -6.90%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-09-06 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.75%E -6.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.03%EV -15.41%E -6.29%K -10.62%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.82%EV -11.73%E -3.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-09-06 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 38.62%EV -15.51%E -6.95%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 34.04%EV -12.64%E -5.00%K -8.26%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -13.11%E -4.16%K -6.10%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-09-06 10:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。