Idioma:Español
Grazer AK v Austria Wien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grazer AK (Local)
Predicción 33.60%2.98momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%33.60%33.66%34.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.722.702.8738.46%36.81%37.04%34.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Austria Wien (Visitante)
Predicción 36.82%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.956%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.34%36.79%36.80%37.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.482.6942.55%40.23%40.32%37.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.58%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.38%29.61%29.54%30.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.22%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grazer AK (Local): 33.60%; Austria Wien (Visitante): 36.82%; Empate: 29.58%. Para Austria Wien (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.72. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.69, con un valor esperado de -0.956%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -3.56%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.96%EV -0.956%E -0.355%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -5.65%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.92%EV -3.89%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 17:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 17:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.91%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.32%EV -6.24%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -7.21%E -2.86%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.79%EV -7.72%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.10%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.56%EV -8.32%E -3.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 17:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.59%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.06%E -3.67%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.27%E -3.43%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -12.37%E -5.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -10.95%E -4.13%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.55%EV -11.62%E -4.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.02%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-19 17:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.31%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -11.96%E -4.56%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.31%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-19 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -11.63%E -4.85%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-19 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.63%E -4.86%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -13.47%E -5.73%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.50% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.02% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.90% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.27% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.95% | 2.7% | 2026-09-19 17:25 |