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Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau

2026-08-08 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prediction 37.72%2.65fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.49%37.53%37.75%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5443.48%41.12%40.82%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visit)

Prediction 34.21%2.92fair odd
EV -6.94%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.89%34.26%34.22%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.702.7240.00%37.78%37.04%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.712%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.21%28.03%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.5032.26%31.00%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Grazer AK (Local): 37.72%; Austria Lustenau (Visit): 34.21%; Draw: 28.06%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -1.78%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.49%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.94%E -2.55%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.49%EV -4.18%E -1.65%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -6.94%E -2.55%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:54
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.94%E -1.96%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -7.28%E -2.69%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -8.52%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.78%E -0.509%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 10:24
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:39
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.69%E -2.28%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:40
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 10:25
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 10:25
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 11:25
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.58%E -3.09%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 10:25
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -8.71%E -3.60%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 10:24
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.47%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 10:24
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.47%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.33%E -3.52%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 10:49
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.47%E -3.94%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.04%E -4.25%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 10:25
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.35%E -4.83%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -14.46%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-02 10:24
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.24%E -5.76%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -12.75%E -5.00%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 10:24
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.08%EV -13.24%E -5.76%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.94%EV -11.73%E -4.55%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -12.16%E -3.89%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 10:24
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -13.24%E -5.76%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -14.46%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-02 10:24
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.24%E -5.76%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -14.46%E -5.79%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-02 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.