Idioma:Español
Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grazer AK (Local)
Predicción 49.46%2.02momio equitativo
EV -5.54%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -6.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%49.55%49.44%52.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.861.871.9156.82%53.76%53.48%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Austria Lustenau (Visitante)
Predicción 23.44%4.27momio equitativo
EV +6.42%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +1.81%
Crecimiento +0.116%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%23.34%23.42%24.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.804.5427.78%25.78%26.32%22.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.673%
Kelly -0.932%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.11%27.13%27.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grazer AK (Local): 49.46%; Austria Lustenau (Visitante): 23.44%; Empate: 27.10%. Para Austria Lustenau (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.27. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.54, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.42%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.14%EV -9.00%E -4.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +6.42%E +1.41%K +1.81%G +0.116% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.72%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.03%EV +2.90%E +0.661%K +0.856%G +0.025% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.792%E +0.184%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.792%E +0.184%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.99%E -5.49%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.80%EV -6.71%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -10.01%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:42 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.42%E -0.673%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.98%E -6.10%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.34%EV -10.49%E -5.79%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -9.00%E -4.89%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -12.96%E -7.36%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.46%E -7.04%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -9.99%E -5.49%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -10.98%E -6.10%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -10.49%E -5.79%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 14:55 |