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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau

2026-08-08 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grazer AK (主队)

预测 42.06%2.38公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -2.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
39.89%42.38%42.07%45.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.172.202.3052.63%46.07%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Austria Lustenau (客队)

预测 30.03%3.33公平赔率
EV +0.293%
优势 +0.088%
Kelly +0.125%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.34

博彩公司预测分布
26.31%29.77%29.90%32.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.023.003.3435.71%33.16%33.33%29.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.91%3.58公平赔率
EV -5.11%
优势 -1.50%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.12%27.85%28.03%28.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.253.253.4032.26%30.76%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Grazer AK (主队)：42.06%；Austria Lustenau (客队)：30.03%；平局：27.91%。 对于“Austria Lustenau (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.33。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.34，由此产生+0.293%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.17%EV -10.41%E -4.89%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV +0.293%E +0.088%K +0.125%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.97%EV -20.08%E -10.57%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.31%EV -0.307%E -0.093%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.73%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:19
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.97%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -2.41%E -0.741%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -7.34%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:25
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 42.70%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.91%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 15:15
Suprabets2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -15.03%E -7.44%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.92%EV -11.53%E -3.64%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.91%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:24
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 15:19
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -8.30%E -3.81%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 15:19
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 15:19
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -13.77%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -12.92%E -4.45%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 15:20
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.46%E -3.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.52%E -4.69%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 15:24
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -14.42%E -5.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 15:25
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -14.42%E -5.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 15:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 15:15
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.36%E -2.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.67%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.92%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 41.31%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.05%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%16.4%2026-08-02 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 15:10