Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grazer AK v Austria Lustenau

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : Grazer AK 2–1 Austria Lustenau

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Grazer AK (Local)

Prévision 49.46%2.02cote équitable
EV -5.54%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -6.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%49.55%49.44%52.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.871.9156.82%53.76%53.48%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Austria Lustenau (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV +6.42%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.116%

avec la cote maximale 4.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%23.34%23.42%24.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.804.5427.78%25.78%26.32%22.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.673%
Kelly -0.932%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.11%27.13%27.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.61%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grazer AK (Local) : 49.46% ; Austria Lustenau (Visiteur) : 23.44% ; Match nul : 27.10%. Pour Austria Lustenau (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.27. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.54, soit une espérance positive de +6.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.14%EV -9.00%E -4.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV +6.42%E +1.41%K +1.81%G +0.116%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.72%EV -2.70%E -0.751%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.89%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.03%EV +2.90%E +0.661%K +0.856%G +0.025%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.792%E +0.184%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV +0.792%E +0.184%K +0.240%G +0.002%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:44
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.55%E -0.369%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -3.90%E -0.950%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:45
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 14:44
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:54
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:54
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.99%E -5.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.80%EV -6.71%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.33%EV -10.01%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:42
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.41%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -2.42%E -0.673%K -0.932%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:24
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:44
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -10.98%E -6.10%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.34%EV -10.49%E -5.79%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -12.45%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 14:44
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.76%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.54%E -2.90%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.02%E -3.74%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -9.00%E -4.89%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -12.96%E -7.36%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -10.93%E -2.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-08 14:44
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.03%E -3.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -6.53%E -3.45%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.50%E -5.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -12.46%E -7.04%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.52%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -9.99%E -5.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 14:44
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.51%E -4.60%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -10.98%E -6.10%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -10.49%E -5.79%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -15.62%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 14:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-08 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-08 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-08 14:55
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-08-08 14:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-08-08 14:55