Language:English
Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%28.52%28.51%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.253.3933.90%30.89%30.77%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne Victory (Visit)
Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.38%46.37%47.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.002.002.0853.48%50.08%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%25.09%25.13%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.693.754.0031.25%27.09%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Western Sydney Wanderers (Local): 28.49%; Melbourne Victory (Visit): 46.44%; Draw: 25.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.287%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 14:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -8.06%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 14:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -8.24%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.01%EV -3.41%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.55%EV -11.77%E -6.20%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.16%E -7.04%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |