L’École des cotes

Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 09:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.91%28.52%28.51%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.243.253.3933.90%30.89%30.77%29.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Melbourne Victory (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.44%2.15cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%46.38%46.37%47.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.002.002.0853.48%50.08%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.07%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.287%
Avantage +0.072%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%25.09%25.13%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.693.754.0031.25%27.09%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:04
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 14:58
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:19
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:19
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:20
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:34
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -8.06%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 14:04
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:50
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:49
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:09
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:13
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:25
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:05
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:02
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 21:20
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:29
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:29
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:29
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -8.24%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:50
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 11:29
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:19
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:19
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 14:24
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.01%EV -3.41%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:34
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 00:24
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:38
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.55%EV -11.77%E -6.20%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 09:39
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 08:19
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.16%E -7.04%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 01:29
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%4.9%2026-04-24 03:45