La scuola delle quote

Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory

Inizio: 2026-04-25 09:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Casa)

Previsione 28.49%3.51quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.91%28.52%28.51%29.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.243.253.3933.90%30.89%30.77%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne Victory (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.44%2.15quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.77%46.38%46.37%47.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.872.002.002.0853.48%50.08%50.00%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.07%3.99quota equa
EV +0.287%
Vantaggio +0.072%
Kelly +0.096%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.74%25.09%25.13%26.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.693.754.0031.25%27.09%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 17:04
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 17:05
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 11:34
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 14:58
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:19
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 08:19
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:20
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 02:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:34
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -8.06%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:05
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 14:04
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 21:39
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:50
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:49
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:09
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:13
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:24
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:25
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:05
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:02
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 21:20
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 11:29
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:29
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:29
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 14:49
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -8.24%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 11:50
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 11:29
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:19
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:19
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 14:24
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.01%EV -3.41%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 11:34
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 00:24
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:38
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.55%EV -11.77%E -6.20%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 09:39
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 08:19
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.16%E -7.04%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-24 01:29
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 17:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-04-24 03:30
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-04-24 02:30
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%4.9%2026-04-24 03:45