La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Western Sydney Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%28.52%28.51%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.243.253.3933.90%30.89%30.77%29.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Melbourne Victory (Visitante)
Predicción 46.44%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.38%46.37%47.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.002.002.0853.48%50.08%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.07%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.287%
Ventaja +0.072%
Kelly +0.096%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%25.09%25.13%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.693.754.0031.25%27.09%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.82%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.287%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -3.47%E -0.902%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 14:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.65%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 08:34 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -8.06%E -4.07%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.06%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.63%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -5.73%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 14:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%EV -5.27%E -2.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.29%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:50 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| betPARX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:13 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 08:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.98%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 14:02 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -4.55%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 21:20 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.23%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.61%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -8.24%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.20%E -3.07%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.38%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.91%E -5.11%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| GTbets | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -7.97%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.01%EV -3.41%E -1.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| TAB | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.81%E -2.34%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Everygame | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.55%EV -11.77%E -6.20%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -13.10%E -4.30%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 08:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -15.95%E -5.41%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.70%E -6.76%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.61%EV -13.16%E -7.04%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.50%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-24 01:29 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.13%E -3.56%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -14.52%E -4.84%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -11.31%E -5.92%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -19.77%E -6.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Kalshi | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84% | 4.9% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |