Language:English
Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sydney FC (Local)
Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +4.02%
Growth +0.189%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.91%48.03%48.31%49.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.1755.25%51.09%51.28%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newcastle Jets FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.98%28.91%28.64%32.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.63%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.07%4.34fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.06%23.05%24.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.024.004.2929.41%24.87%25.00%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney FC (Local): 48.25%; Newcastle Jets FC (Visit): 28.68%; Draw: 23.07%. For Sydney FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV +4.71%E +2.17%K +4.02%G +0.189% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -16.83%E -5.80%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 08:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV +1.33%E +0.633%K +1.21%G +0.016% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -1.08%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.54%EV -8.80%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.19%E -0.517%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 03:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.56%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 03:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 03:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 03:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.82%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -12.66%E -7.00%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 03:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 03:34 |