L’École des cotes

Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 04:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sydney FC (Local)

Prévision 48.25%2.07cote équitable
EV +4.71%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +4.02%
Croissance +0.189%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.91%48.03%48.31%49.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.1755.25%51.09%51.28%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.68%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.305%
Kelly -0.429%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.98%28.91%28.64%32.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.63%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.07%4.34cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -0.316%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.18%23.06%23.05%24.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.024.004.2929.41%24.87%25.00%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV +4.71%E +2.17%K +4.02%G +0.189%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -16.83%E -5.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 08:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV +1.33%E +0.633%K +1.21%G +0.016%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 03:55
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -1.08%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.54%EV -8.80%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:54
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.19%E -0.517%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:39
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:55
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 03:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:51
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 03:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.82%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 03:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-22 03:55
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -12.66%E -7.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-03-22 03:34