A Escola das Odds

Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC

Início: 2026-03-22 04:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sydney FC (Local)

Previsão 48.25%2.07odd justa
EV +4.71%
Vantagem +2.17%
Kelly +4.02%
Crescimento +0.189%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.91%48.03%48.31%49.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.811.961.952.1755.25%51.09%51.28%46.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)

Previsão 28.68%3.49odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.305%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.98%28.91%28.64%32.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.63%31.25%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.07%4.34odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.242%
Kelly -0.316%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.18%23.06%23.05%24.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.024.004.2929.41%24.87%25.00%23.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV +4.71%E +2.17%K +4.02%G +0.189%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -16.83%E -5.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 08:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV +1.33%E +0.633%K +1.21%G +0.016%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 03:55
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -1.08%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.54%EV -8.80%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:54
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.19%E -0.517%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:39
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:55
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 03:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:51
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 03:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.82%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 03:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-22 03:55
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -12.66%E -7.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-03-22 03:34