La escuela de los momios

Sydney FC v Newcastle Jets FC

Inicio: 2026-03-22 04:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sydney FC (Local)

Predicción 48.25%2.07momio equitativo
EV +4.71%
Ventaja +2.17%
Kelly +4.02%
Crecimiento +0.189%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.91%48.03%48.31%49.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.961.952.1755.25%51.09%51.28%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.68%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.305%
Kelly -0.429%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.98%28.91%28.64%32.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.63%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.07%4.34momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.242%
Kelly -0.316%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.06%23.05%24.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.024.004.2929.41%24.87%25.00%23.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV +4.71%E +2.17%K +4.02%G +0.189%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -16.83%E -5.80%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 08:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.44%EV +1.33%E +0.633%K +1.21%G +0.016%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.29%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 03:55
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.42%EV -0.602%E -0.292%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -1.08%E -0.529%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -1.57%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 03:54
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.54%EV -8.80%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:54
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.42%EV -4.46%E -2.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.25%EV -5.43%E -2.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.77%EV -2.19%E -0.517%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -1.05%E -0.305%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV -1.04%E -0.242%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:54
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:39
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:55
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 03:54
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 03:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.35%EV -6.39%E -3.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.12%E -0.742%K -0.974%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.30%EV -6.87%E -3.56%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.58%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.99%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 03:51
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.70%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.53%EV -4.27%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -8.88%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 03:55
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 03:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 03:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 03:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.10%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 03:54
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 03:54
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -8.32%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.04%E -2.57%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 03:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.73%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 03:54
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.82%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -11.19%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 03:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.34%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -11.70%E -6.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -17.40%E -6.04%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -21.57%E -6.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-22 03:55
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -12.66%E -7.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-03-22 03:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-22 03:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%2.0%2026-03-22 03:34